Serena Odds To Win Wimbledon

It’s French Open month but that doesn’t stop us from looking ahead at the upcoming Major tennis tournaments. For this article, we will take an early look at the 2019 Wimbledon Championships and give you our early betting preview.

For the fifth time, Novak Djokovic is the Wimbledon champion after winning a breathtaking five-set final over Roger Federer, 7-6 (7-6), 1-6, 7-6 (7-4), 4-6, 13-12 (7-3) in a match that featured. 2021 Wimbledon Odds. 2021 Wimbledon is set to take place on June 28 and run into early-July. Odds are available for both the men's and women's winners with bet365. The event is held this year at the All England Law Tennis & Croquet Club in London, United Kingdom. The tournament is known for its grass court surface, which Roger Federer thrives on. Wimbledon womens betting on the grass court tennis Grand Slam, held at SW19 in London. Who will triumph on Centre Court? Find the best tennis odds.

The 2019 Wimbledon Championships will be held from July 1-14, 2019 at the All-England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club in London England and will be the 133rd edition of the only grand slam tournament still played on grass.

Let’s take a look at the early oddsboard for both the men’s and women’s singles championships:

Wimbledon Men’s Singles Championship

Here are the odds to win the 2019 Wimbledon men’s tournament. Odds were taken from Titanbet as of 6/21/19:

Who Are the Favorites?

Only four players have won the men’s Wimbledon title in the last 15 years. Roger Federer won it 8 times during that period, Novak Djokovic thrice, Andy Murray twice and Rafael Nadal thrice. Since these four players are in the Top 6 of the current oddsboard at Bovada, then they may be the best bets to win the tournament again unless some young gun breaks out and wins for the first time, which I don’t think is likely, given the trend.

In the last seven years, only Djokovic ( 2018, 2014 and 2015), Murray (2013 and 2016) and Federer (2012 and 2017) have won the title. Djokovic has displayed the better form between the three as he’s been victorious in three out of the last five years including the latest. And it’s not just in the All-England club where he’s dominating.

Djokovic has won the last three majors and is shooting for a non-calendar year grand slam at the upcoming 2019 French Open. And regardless of what happens at Roland Garros, he is still expected to be the #1 tennis betting favorite at Wimbledon, a tournament he’s won in four out of the last eight years and where he has a career record of 65-10.

Roger Federer is the man next to Djokovic in the oddsboard but the Federer Express has slowed down significantly. After winning the 2018 Australian Open, Federer has not made it past the quarterfinals in the succeeding major tournaments. As for Rafael Nadal, his last win at the All-England Club was in 2010 and while he’s coming off a semi-finals appearance last year, Nadal hasn’t gotten out of the 4th round in six out of the last seven years.

I like the betting value on Andy Murray who hasn’t won a major since winning the 2016 Wimbledon tournament. Murray has struggled in the last two years but he’s always been at his best when it comes to Wimbledon. Although he missed the tournament last year, he’s made seven semi-finals in the last nine years and these include wins in 2013 and 2016. He’s also declared that this will be his last Wimbledon tournament, which may set up some dramatics.

But the concern with Andy Murray is that he underwent hip surgery after the Australian Open so that’s a red flag already.

Who Wins?

In the last 15 years, only four players have won the Wimbledon Men’s title. Roger Federer won it 8 times, Novak Djokovic 3 times, Rafael Nadal 3 times and Andy Murray twice. With those four players in the Top 6 of the current odds board at TopBet.eu as of 6/21/19, I’d like to say that they are the best bets to win Wimbledon this year, given the trend.

Rafael Nadal just won his record 12th French Open title. Roger Federer lost to Nadal in the semi-finals. That’s almost like winning the title, given how untouchable Nadal has been on clay. Djokovic was in the semifinals as well, but he lost to Dominic Thiem. Thiem, in turn, lost to Nadal in four sets during the finals. Sure, the French Open is a clay court tournament but when it comes to tennis betting, form is a factor you have to highly consider.

In that case, Djokovic, Federer, and Nadal should be our top choices. Andy Murray? He has just returned from hip surgery and it may not be prudent to put money on him right now. But going back, Nadal must be in cloud 9 right now after a record win at Roland Garros. Federer must feel he won the title already since he lost to a god in the semifinals. As for Djokovic, he may be sad he didn’t win his second grand slam of the year but reaching the semifinals in a surface which isn’t his specialty is also an achievement.

Prediction: While Novak Djokovic lost in the semifinals at Roland Garros, he lost to Thiem who is a clay court specialist so that’s not a cause of concern. On the other hand, Djokovic reaching the semis of a clay court tournament is proof that he is in good health and good form heading to Wimbledon. That’s good news. Nothing changes for me here. I’m still going with the #1 player in the World. Prediction: Novak Djokovic

Wimbledon Ladies Singles’ Championship

Here are the odds to win the 2019 Wimbledon women’s tournament. Odds were taken from Titanbet as of 6/21/19:

Who Wins?

Serena Williams has won five times in the last decade, the latest of those came in 2015 and 2016 when she won back to back, just before taking a leave of absence to give birth to her first child. We know she’s back and while she may not be in the old Serena form yet, she’s made the finals in two out of the last three grand slam tournaments.

Petra Kvitova is the #2 ranked female tennis player in the world as of May 6, 2019. The left-hander from the Czech Republic has not won a major title since winning Wimbledon in 2014. Since that win, she didn’t get past the quarterfinals in any major until making the finals of the 2019 Australian Open where she lost to Naomi Osaka in three sets.

Angelique Kerber is the defending Wimbledon champion. Kerber has won three grand slams since 2016 but she’s made it past the quarterfinals in just two majors over that period. Naomi Osaka is the fastest rising stock in women’s tennis. The Japanese-American is the current #1 ranked women’s tennis player in the world and has won the last two major tournaments, defeating Serena Williams at the 2018 U.S. Open and annexing the 2019 Australian Open title earlier this year.

No question, Serena Williams is still a force at age 37 and I don’t question her being among the top favorites but as the #1, I’m not sure. I’d rather pick Naomi Osaka or defending champion Angelique Kerber who are both at +900. I mean Serena is tough to beat, but Osaka beat here at the U.S. Open Finals last year. Kerber beat Serena too in the finals here last year.

Ashley Barty has zoomed to #3 in the world after her 2019 French Open win. Barty can be the #1 player in the world if she makes the finals of the Birmingham Classic which is currently underway.

Who Wins?

There is no doubt that Serena Williams is still a force to be reckoned with even at the age of 37. And I don’t question here among the women on top of the odds board. But as the top tennis betting favorite to win Wimbledon? I’m not sold out.

When you take a look at current form which is a good indicator for tennis betting, Serena crashed out in the Round of 32 at Roland Garros. Osaka also exited in that round while Kerber was ousted in the first round. When you take a look at the odds board, the highest riser is Ashley Barty who won the 2019 French Open.

After the French Open, Serena admitted that she is very far from peak form so that’s something you should take note. Naomi Osaka followed up her early French Open exit with a second-round loss in the Birmingham Natural Valley Classic. Meanwhile, Ashley Barty marched to the quarterfinals of the same tournament. If she wins her next three matches, she will enter Wimbledon as the first Australian #1 ranked tennis player in 40 years. Regardless, he auspicious start on grass is impressive. When it comes to tennis betting, you have to love Barty’s form right now.

Right now, I will have to go with the value on Ashley Barty. The new clay court queen may be the next big thing in grass as well. That girl’s potential is limitless. And at +750 right now, she’s a must have. Prediction: Ashley Barty

The futures betting board for the 2018 All England Lawn & Tennis Club’s annual Grand Slam tells a story almost by itself. Or actually, it tells 3 stories.

The first is that a popular pick at (+500) hasn’t competed on grass courts since 2016.

Form on different court surfaces is considered so important to Grand Slam competition that reporters flock to diddy-bump grass-surface tournaments to observe the pros before Wimbledon. But apparently, such analysis is not, like, a totally big deal this time around.

This popular pick whom I speak of is currently ranked #183 in the world and is seeded 25th in the London ladies’ singles bracket. Yep, you guessed it – it’s Serena Williams.

It helps that the last time Williams played at Wimbledon 2 years ago, she won. Not to mention that she owns 7 titles at All England Club.

But wait – there’s movement on the board. 28-year-old lefty Petra Kvitova has passed Mika for shortest odds-to-win with a (+450) futures line. Kvitova’s record at Wimbledon is nothing to sniff at. The Czech veteran has won twice there, and her current form couldn’t be hotter.

Finally, does it seem like tennis gets the short end of the racket in the media these days? Maybe the sport needs a little Madison “Avenue.” Madison Keys, that is, a 23-year-old sensation who is at 14-to-1 odds despite never having advanced beyond the quarterfinals.

Serena Williams and Madison Keys share a quarter of the draw and may meet in the 4th round. But that’s not the only intriguing potential match on the way to the final. Let’s take a closer look at a handful of the favorites likely to decide Wimbledon in 2018.

Petra Kvitova (+450 Odds-to-Win at Sportsbetting.ag)

Serena Williams has had to deal with domesticity, motherhood, and various controversies on and off the court. But she’s never spent a year recovering from a knife fight.

Petra Kvitova won her 2nd Wimbledon title in 2014 and looked to become a dominant Serena-type player at age 24. But she fell ill with severe mononucleosis in 2015, and was attacked by an armed robber with a knife at the end of 2016.

Last season was one of slow recovery and limited action for Kvitova. But since late winter ’18, she’s been playing as well as anyone in the world. Kvitova’s grass court season is going splendidly, and she is coming off a victory in the finals at Birmingham against Magdaléna Rybáriková.

In the reality-check category a minor hamstring injury prompted her to cautiously withdraw from the next tournament and wait patiently for Wimbledon.

The lefty has all the tools to be a dominant force on grass. She consistently delivers a powerful and precise serve. Her forehand and backhand allow her to hit heavy shots down the line to finish off an opponent. Petra hugs the baseline but her large frame allows for quick movement.

The baseline style is not orthodox in Wimbledon champions but it helps to conserve energy for occasional quick charges on crucial points. It’s just a matter of time before Kvitova rekindles her 2014 form, though for how long and under what circumstances is an open question.

Serena Williams (+500)

Mika’s draw is considered fortunate with 2 “gimme” matches granted at the start of the tournament. But the only good fortune Williams is experiencing is at the tennis club.

A fresh controversy has erupted over what the 7-time champ claims are overzealous anti-doping procedures by the US Anti-Doping Authority. After Serena complained on Twitter about the number of times she has been tested, Usada sent a man to her house at 8 AM who refused to leave until he extracted a blood sample from the tennis pro.

Oh, and there’s injury concerns for Williams too. She withdrew from the French Open while citing a “chest injury” that was never publicly expounded on.

But don’t worry, she’ll have plenty of ammunition for the fight. Her thunderous serve and precise groundstrokes allow her to control the pace of every game on grass courts, even on break attempts. WTA insider still ranks Serena #2 in their grass court power rankings.

Garbine Muguruza (+700)

Garbine Muguruza’s All England story is a perfect sports-drink commercial.

“She’s too tall to get around on the grass, they said.” (Cut to shot of Muguruza running quickly to hit the ball.) “She can’t bend down and reach those dead bounces, they said.” (Shot of Mugaruthless digging up a Wimbledon forehand-winner practically off the ground.) “She’ll never win here.” (Match point.) “It won’t happen.” (Holding the trophy and grinning.)
“Drink Change-Aid. It’s got copper, zinc, nickel, and sometimes silver and gold mixed in.”

The defending Wimbledon champion was thought to be a poor fit for grass courts until she won in 2017. But she didn’t just win. At just 23 years old, she lost only a single set in the entire tournament, almost matching the historic dominance of Roger Federer in men’s singles.

Muguruza’s win only received an obligatory amount of press coverage in the United States and greater Europe. It was the quietest Tiger-Woods-in-2000 type of performance you’ll ever (not) see.

It’s true that the tall, wirey Venezuelan’s style is not a classic fit for grass courts. It’s also true that she took all of the court surface-centric punditry and sliced it apart along with the field in ’17. But Muguruza’s more recent story is one of mixed results. She’s changed coaches, withdrawn from matches over a nagging back injury, and made only a single finals appearance in her last 5 tournaments.

Angelique Kerber (+1000)

Another example of a player for whom the Wimbledon ’18 bookends are there, but the plot has been dragging cover-to-cover.

Kerber’s game is naturally suited for grass surfaces. The lefty is a fierce counterpuncher who relishes the chance to turn defense into offense. She enjoys the fast pace of short grass-court rallies and is at home reaching and clawing for balls bouncing in dull fashion on the real turf.

She has struggled to put together consistent serves and has had serve broken in too many games. Though she is a defensive genius, she hasn’t displayed the kind of creative, incisive finishing volleys and cross-court winners that All England winners must possess.

Kerber has played well at several recent tournaments, including the Sydney International which she won. But a lifetime 24-11 record at All England doesn’t inspire confidence in a 10/1 wager.

Madison Keys (+1400)

Madison Keys played Serena Williams in a match in 2015. Afterward, Williams said it was an honor to play against someone who would be World #1 eventually.

Maybe a #1 ranking is in Madison’s future. But it’s not coming quickly. She still consists of a world – nay, a universe – of not-quite-realized potential.

The rising American star’s game is highlighted by an excellent serve and arguably the most powerful forehand in women’s tennis. She compliments her serve and forehand with a lightning quick groundstroke. Her tall frame and ample power are well suited to grass courts.

Keys has yet to play on grass in the 2018 season. Her form is rounding into shape, but would she have a chance to hold off a healthy Mika in the 4th match?

Handicapping the Ladies Singles Tournament at Wimbledon

Legit Gambling Sites blog readers know that one of my favorite tactics is to imagine making a bet as many times as you want and letting the event play out again and again. How many 2018 Wimbledons would each of the above competitors win if they got to start over 10 times?

Suppose we think a player at (+500) would win Wimbledon 2 times if given 10 cracks at it. Making 10 $100 bets in a row at 5/1 odds and winning 2 of them puts you right back at even. It’s not a value bet. But if a player at (+500) would likely win 3, or 4, or 5 times out of 10, then the wager is a smart one.

Serena Odds To Win Wimbledon Results

Serena is distracted and physically 85% or 90%. I can see her putting it all together and winning, but not without luck and drama. She’s not a safe futures pick at 5-to-1 payoff.

Kerber has lost almost 1/3rd of her matches at All England and the record includes many average tour players. I’m not buying her as at least a 2-in-10 winner at (+1000).

Muguruza (+700) is going through a revamping and healing process similar to what Novak Djokovic has endured. She wouldn’t be likely to win more than once in 7 tries.

She’s a sensation and a lot of fun to watch. More importantly, she’ll win Wimbledon someday, so the (+1400) line isn’t the worst market out there.

Those who can use process-of-elimination have already figured out my pick. But it’s still time for another headline right about now.

Wimbledon Odds Women

Wimbledon Ladies Singles: Winner Prediction

Petra Kvitova (+450) has the least downside as a pick to win Wimbledon. She may have a few nagging aches and pains, but compared to others in the field, her form and physical health are each excellent. She has won twice at All England and can be forgiven for not winning again through 3 tumultuous years.

Is it Kvitova’s time to put the past behind her while (ironically) playing like it’s 2014? I can’t actually tell you. That’s handicapping! It’s not the science of prediction, but the science of making “real” odds of things happening, or not, to compare with the bookie’s odds of them happening or not.

The Czech baseliner’s next Wimbledon crown may be happening, or not. But I assure you if she played the tournament 4 or 5 times, finals appearances would be numerous.

Kvitova’s life on and off-court is simpler than the lives of Serena Williams and Garbine Muguruza at this moment in time. That translates into a better chance to win. Take the odds-on favorite at (+450) and don’t strain a hamstring worrying about hers.

Serena Odds To Win Wimbledon 2018